MIGRATION OF THE WORKING POPULATION IN DÂMBOVIŢA COUNTY BY AGE GROUPS

Abstract

This article analyzes the migratory movement of the working-age population in Dâmbovița County, with a particular focus on both definitive emigration and permanent immigration during the 1992-2023 period.The study aims to identify the magnitude, structure,
and long-term implications of these demographic flows by age group and to evaluate their impact on the local social and economic environment. Migration data were processed for the active population aged 15–64, since this category represents the most dynamic and productive component of society and is directly linked to the labor market, demographic renewal, and regional development.The research also includes a ten-year forecast (2024–2034), based on statistical modeling of past trends and demographic indicators, allowing the estimation of future population movements and their potential effects. These projections are essential for anticipating challenges related to labor force availability, economic competitiveness, and social cohesion in the county. The article therefore examines the migration balance, the intensity of emigration and immigration by age categories, and the evolution of these indicators over time, highlighting both the risks and opportunities that migration generates for Dâmbovița County in the next decade.